19 January 2025

Captain America 4 Is Projected to be a Box Office Disaster

You know I really wish that Disney-Marvel would hire some people who read the comics, know what villains work with what heroes, know what makes the stories work in general. It would also be nice if they knew which stories were tried in the comics and didn't work, and maybe had an understanding of why they didn't work. Of course Disney-Marvel will never do that, because that would mean they would have to admit that everything they've done in the past 6 or 7 years has been trash. I actually think the trash started earlier than than, around the time of Age of Ultron, but I know that's a minority opinion.

What was the last Disney movie that was good? As Deadpool and Wolverine was really a Sony project, or at least a Sony leftover, I'm not sure that counts. So was the last good Marvel movie Infinity War (which was 7 years ago) or Endgame? What about the rest of Disney? What about Indiana Jones and the Insufferable Feminist, or Star Wars: The Rise of the Mary Sue?

Current reports are, that with all of the reshoots of this movie, the production budget for Captain America: Brave New World has reached between $350 million and $375 million. Some reports state a higher budget, but this is high enough. Those numbers are before they spend a dime on marketing, and these kind of movies usually cost a couple of hundred million to market. But let's say they cheap out and only spend $125 million on marketing, meaning that they are all in on this movie for about half a billion dollars. That means that the movie has to make between One Billion Dollars and $1.3 billion dollars, just to break even. (The movie theaters do get a cut of the box office, after all, and oversees theaters get more than domestic.)

Now Captain America: Civil War made that much, but that was really more of an Avengers movie. And it was good. Current box office projections, which are still a month out, are that it won't make anywhere near that much. And can anyone explain why this is opening on Valentine's Day? It doesn't seem like a date movie. But what do I know?

This is the Snarky Jay video Marvel's BIG MISTAKE: Why CAPTAIN AMERICA Brave New World WILL FAIL!

Jay did grow up reading the comics, and she has some valid points. Not that it will do this movie any good. Or the next movie, or the next.

Snarky Jay's video is 12 minutes long. Yes, she is a first class comic book nerd, and that's a good thing.

Here is the excerpt from Friday Night Tights in which they discuss this movie. Nerdrotic Daily: DOOMED TO FAIL! Marvel Has NO CONFIDENCE in 'Captain America: Brave New World' It is a 23 minute discussion between Gary Nerdrotic, Ryan K, Shad B, Chrissie M, Disparu, 1/4 Black Garrett, Odin, and it is produced by Xray Girl.

Here is the article from That Park Place detailing the production budget for the movie. Captain America: Brave New World Runtime Shows It’s the Shortest Yet Most Expensive Captain America Movie to Date, Troubled Film Costs Nearly $3 Million Per Minute

At just 118 minutes long, this film will be the shortest Captain America movie to date, yet its budget has reportedly ballooned to a staggering $350 million—which means that it costs a jaw-dropping $2.9 million per minute of runtime.

The $350 million figure is a low-end projection, with some outlets believing the latest MCU project could even get up to production costs of $375 million. That high-end figure would put the per-minute cost of this film up to $3.1 million.

And finally here is the Critical Drinker's take from a month ago. Captain America 4: A Brave New Disaster. It is just under 8 minutes.

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