Are you shocked to discover that murder is concentrated in a small number of counties? America’s Murder Problem Is Smaller Than It Looks
World Cup visitors discovered something many Americans already know: The United States does not feel like the dangerous place they’ve been led to expect. That’s because America’s murder problem is not spread evenly across the country. Does the United States have a higher murder rate than its peer countries? Yes – but new research shows that statistic obscures how murders in the U.S. are extremely concentrated in very tiny areas.
There is good news even in the bad news. The 2025 murder rate for the entire country fell to 4 murders to 100,000 people, which was down from 5 per 100,000 people in 2024. Data from the first half of 2026 indicates that the rate fell another 18% in the 30 largest cities.
That 4% is historically low.
Since national recordkeeping began in 1900, the country has never recorded a murder rate this low. The previous record low was approximately 4.5 murders per 100,000 people.
As I noted in the title to this post, the problem is concentrated in small number of counties.
The research by the Crime Prevention Research Center, which I head, finds that 31 counties with the highest murder rates – just 1% of all U.S. counties – contain about 20% of the nation’s population but account for 41% of all murders.
There are more statistics on the concentration of murders, on the people who commit murder, etc. Click thru for that and more. (Hat tip to CPRC)















