Are we shocked, that polls from places like CNN are insane? But most seem to get it wrong consistently. Fact Check: Were 2020 Polls ‘Rigged’? Is There Even Any Need to Ask Anymore?
For example, CNN’s final national poll, released Oct. 28, the Wednesday before Election Day, had Biden leading by 12 points — TWELVE POINTS! — which was nearly eight points higher than the 4.5 actual margin. You cannot be that wrong by accident.
Click thru for the details on how a lot of polls continue to get it wrong, and why that amounts to Democrat propaganda.
The moral of the story is, don't believe the polls.
Polls Have Become Democratic Propaganda What? They have been that all my life....
ReplyDeleteYou are probably younger than either myself or Robert Stacy McCain. There was a time - it doesn't seem like it was all that long ago - that polls were not always wrong.
DeleteThere were a few counterexamples, like the whole Dewey Defeats Truman mess, but that was newsworthy exactly because it was wrong. And polling got better after that because they were able to figure out exactly where it went wrong.
And pollsters have continually been ignoring the fact that their respondents are self-selecting. (When was the last time you answered a phone call from a number not in your personal address book? And have it not be about vinyl siding, your car's extended warranty, or some other BS?) Yet pollsters are continue to rely on telephone polling.
The media was often wrong, and refused to report on the polls, but that is another topic.
Though even as late as 1972, the press would report on things that hurt the Democrats. Thomas Eagleton's (Democratic candidate for Vice President) electroshock therapy was a big story in 72. Today they would cover it up, they way they covered up so much.